Inflation showcased in lead-off session at the AICPA FVS conference
As this issue rolls off the (virtual) presses, BVWire is attending the AICPA & CIMA Forensic and Valuation Services Conference. The kickoff session of the three-day event, which was presented by Carla Nunes and Jim Harrington, both with Kroll, discussed the cost of capital ramifications of the Russia-Ukraine War and global inflationary pressures.
Uncertainty and volatility: The raising of interest rates by the major central banks and the war have led to progressively weaker growth forecasts for the U.S. and other economies. “There will be a lot of pressure on earnings over the next couple of years,” said Nunes in a recent video. Revenue growth will depend on the ability to pass on increased costs to customers, but costs may outpace revenue growth and the price increases could weaken demand.
The increased uncertainty about economic growth and company earnings could result in a variability around expected cash flows, which makes equity risk higher. Recently, Kroll increased its recommended U.S. equity risk premium (ERP) from 5.5% to 6.0% when developing USD-denominated discount rates as of Oct. 18, 2022. This is matched with the higher of a normalized risk-free rate of 3.5% or the spot 20-year U.S. Treasury yield as of the valuation date if it is higher than 3.5%, Kroll said in a recent update.
Also, increased financing costs raise the cost of debt, so there may be less M&A activity, Nunes remarked, and you could see valuations going down.
Appellate court rules on valuation of inventory in Sears bankruptcy
Sears (the Amazon of its day) recently emerged from bankruptcy after four years and thousands of court filings. One of the many issues involved in the bankruptcy was the valuation of inventory.
Wide disparity: Second-lien holders, entitled to payment only after the debts of first-lien holders have been discharged, argued that the value of the collateral that secured their claims, as measured on the petition date, vastly exceeded what they had been paid and that they were accordingly entitled to priority payment of the difference. At trial, all parties put on evidence as to the value of the assets at the petition date. The differences varied widely. “The differences among these values turned primarily on how the experts calculated the revenue Debtors could expect to earn from selling their inventory.”
The appeal dealt primarily with this inventory issue and how it should be valued. The Bankruptcy Court, affirmed by the district court, used a net orderly liquidation value (NOLV) to determine the value at the petition date. The appellate court affirmed the judgments of the two lower courts.
The case is ESL Invs., L.P. v. Sears Holdings Corp. Debtor-Appellee (In re Sears Holdings Corp.), 2022 U.S. App. LEXIS 28584, and a case analysis and full opinion can be found on the BVLaw platform.
New FASB rules on crypto coming in first half of 2023
Under proposed accounting rules, fungible tokens will be measured at fair value as opposed to the cost (less impairment) model. The rules will be issued for public comment during the first half of 2023, said FASB chair Richard Jones at a recent conference, according to a report. Back in May 2022, the FASB added a project on digital assets to its technical agenda that would provide standards for crypto accounting. It was later announced that nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and certain stablecoins were to be excluded from the forthcoming guidance. Before the proposed guidance is released, the FASB will need to address certain issues, such as where changes in fair value should be presented (in earnings or in other comprehensive income), disclosure requirements, and whether the change in measurement attribute be recognized prospectively or retrospectively.
AICPA session reiterates request for comments on business combinations guide
A session at this week’s AICPA FVS conference discussed the recently released Draft Accounting and Valuation Guide, Business Combinations, which provides guidance and illustrations regarding the accounting and valuation considerations for business combination transactions. It addresses many accounting and valuation issues that have emerged over time and is designed to help preparers, auditors, and valuation specialists understand and comply with the requirements of FASB ASC 805, Business Combinations, and FASB ASC 820, Fair Value Measurement. The AICPA is seeking comments, which are due by Jan. 15, 2023 (see the document for how to submit comments). To download the working draft, click here.
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KPMG releases cost of capital study
KPMG has published its “Cost of Capital Study 2022” that addresses the impact of high inflation on company valuations. This edition examines the influence of rising inflation rates on business models, corporate developments, and on long-term return expectations (cost of capital) based on sector-specific analyses. To download the study, click here.
OECD releases final fiscal valuation guidance for crypto-assets
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has published the final Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework (CARF), which provides for the automatic exchange of information between countries on crypto-assets. These are intended as global standards, though the U.S. likely will not adopt them, and it’s left to individual countries to apply them within their own jurisdictions.
The final CARF provides some guidance on hard-to-value assets. They allow analysts to rely on the second value of new resulting property if the hard-to-value asset is exchanged. In addition, if the relevant crypto-asset service provider does not maintain an applicable reference value, it may rely on, first, the internal accounting book values with respect to the relevant crypto-asset should be used. If a book value is not available, a value provided by third-party companies or websites that aggregate current prices of relevant crypto-assets must be used if the valuation method that third party used is reasonably expected to provide a reliable indicator of value. If neither of the above is available, the most recent valuation of the relevant crypto-asset must be used. If a value can still not be attributed, a reasonable estimate may be applied as a measure of last resort.
Prior to the release of the final rules, based on responses to the initial March 2022 draft, the OECD revised many provisions including the definition of covered assets, the treatment of decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, and who would be required to report. The final rules include a new threshold of $US50,000 for retail transaction reporting.
Preview of the December 2022 issue of Business Valuation Update
Here’s what you’ll see: